Improving the Detection and Tracking of Tropical Cyclones in Atmospheric General Circulation Models
- 1 December 2002
- journal article
- Published by American Meteorological Society in Weather and Forecasting
- Vol. 17 (6), 1152-1162
- https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(2002)017<1152:itdato>2.0.co;2
Abstract
Dynamical seasonal forecasts of tropical storm frequency require robust and efficient algorithms for detection and tracking of tropical storms in atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs). Tropical storms are generally detected when dynamic and thermodynamic variables meet specified criteria. Here, it is shown that objectively defined model- and basin-dependent detection criteria improve simulations of tropical storm climatology and interannual variability in low-resolution AGCMs. An improved tracking method provides more realistic tracking and accurate counting of storms.Keywords
This publication has 26 references indexed in Scilit:
- Hurricane ThreatsScience, 2001
- Current approaches to seasonal to interannual climate predictionsInternational Journal of Climatology, 2001
- Seasonal Forecasting of Tropical Cyclone Activity over theWestern North Pacific and the South China SeaWeather and Forecasting, 1998
- Hurricane-type vortices in a general circulation modelTellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 1995
- Predicting Atlantic Basin Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity by 1 JuneWeather and Forecasting, 1994
- Development of a Second-Generation Regional Climate Model (RegCM2). Part I: Boundary-Layer and Radiative Transfer ProcessesMonthly Weather Review, 1993
- Tropical disturbances in a GCMClimate Dynamics, 1993
- Predicting Atlantic Basin Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity by 1 AugustWeather and Forecasting, 1993
- Can existing climate models be used to study anthropogenic changes in tropical cyclone climate?Geophysical Research Letters, 1990
- Simulation of hurricane-type vortices in a general circulation modelTellus, 1982