The base rate controversy: Is the glass half-full or half-empty?
- 1 March 1996
- journal article
- Published by Cambridge University Press (CUP) in Behavioral and Brain Sciences
- Vol. 19 (1), 26
- https://doi.org/10.1017/s0140525x00041273
Abstract
Setting the two hypotheses of complete neglect and full use of base rates against each other is inappropriate. The proper question concerns the degree to which base rates are used (or neglected), and under what conditions. We outline alternative approaches and recommend regression analysis. Koehler's conclusion that we have been oversold on the base rate fallacy seems to be premature.Keywords
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