Data specialization for plant specific risk studies
- 29 February 1980
- journal article
- Published by Elsevier BV in Nuclear Engineering and Design
- Vol. 56 (2), 321-329
- https://doi.org/10.1016/0029-5493(80)90133-8
Abstract
Bayes' theorem is used to derive plant specific distributions for the failure rates of components. Methods are suggested for the derivation of generic distributions from information that appears in the literature. These distributions are used as prior distributions in Bayes' theorem and they are modified using plant specific data. The posterior distributions thus derived can be used as inputs in a plant specific risk analysis.Keywords
This publication has 2 references indexed in Scilit:
- Expert Opinion and Statistical Evidence: An Application to Reactor Core Melt FrequencyNuclear Science and Engineering, 1979
- Methods for the estimation of confidence bounds for the top-event unavailability of fault treesNuclear Engineering and Design, 1977