Do Natural Disasters Affect Voting Behavior? Evidence from Croatian Floods
Open Access
- 1 January 2018
- journal article
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLoS Currents
Abstract
Main results showed that, prior to matching, floods had an impact on voting behaviour in the 2014 and 2015 elections. Voters from flooded areas decreased their support for the incumbent government and president in the elections following the floods. However, once we accounted for differences in control variables between flooded and non-flooded areas, the flood effect disappeared. Furthermore, results showed that neither the presence nor the amount of the government's relief spending had an impact on voting behaviour. Discussion: Presented results imply that floods did not have an impact on the election outcome. Results are interpreted in light of the retrospective voter model.Keywords
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