Baseline neutrophils and derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio: prognostic relevance in metastatic melanoma patients receiving ipilimumab

Abstract

Background Clinical responses to ipilimumab are variable in terms of onset, magnitude and duration. Upfront identification of patients who are more likely or unlikely to benefit from treatment is a major need. Patients and methods Prospectively collected data from 720 advanced melanoma patients treated with ipilimumab 3 mg/kg within the Italian expanded access programme were analyzed. The derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) was calculated from baseline peripheral blood cell counts, and receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the best cut-off for this marker. Patients were stratified according to dichotomized baseline absolute neutrophil counts (ANC), dNLR, and their combination. The prognostic values of ANC and dNLR for survival were assessed using multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. A subgroup analysis including LDH in the models was also performed. Results The median follow-up was 16.5 months. The optimal cut-off for dNLR was 3. Baseline ANC and dNLR were significantly associated with outcome of ipilimumab-treated melanoma patients, in terms of disease progression and death (PConclusions Although these findings need to be confirmed and validated, we suggest that a neutrophil-based index may help risk-group stratification and assist disease management strategies. Further, the potential predictive value of this index for response to ipilimumab should be investigated in randomized clinical trials.