From ensemble forecasts to predictive distribution functions
Open Access
- 1 August 2008
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Stockholm University Press in Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
- Vol. 60 (4), 663-678
- https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00333.x
Abstract
From ensemble forecasts to predictive distribution functionsKeywords
This publication has 22 references indexed in Scilit:
- Scoring Probabilistic Forecasts: The Importance of Being ProperWeather and Forecasting, 2007
- Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and EstimationJournal of the American Statistical Association, 2007
- Comparison of ensemble‐MOS methods in the Lorenz '96 settingMeteorlogical Applications, 2006
- Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS EstimationMonthly Weather Review, 2005
- Improvement of ensemble reliability with a new dressing kernelQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2005
- Combining dynamical and statistical ensemblesTellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 2003
- Smoothing forecast ensembles with fitted probability distributionsQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2002
- Interpretation of Rank Histograms for Verifying Ensemble ForecastsMonthly Weather Review, 2001
- The Outlook: Scattered ShowersBulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 1988
- Expected Information as Expected UtilityThe Annals of Statistics, 1979