Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020
Open Access
- 23 January 2020
- journal article
- research article
- Published by European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC) in Eurosurveillance
- Vol. 25 (3), 2000044-9
- https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.3.2000044
Abstract
A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9–32%).Keywords
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