Analysis of Capture-Recapture Data with a Rasch-Type Model Allowing for Conditional Dependence and Multidimensionality

Abstract

Summary. In this article, we show that, if subjects are assumed to be homogeneous within a finite set of latent classes, the basic restrictions of the Rasch model (conditional independence and unidimensionality) can be relaxed in a flexible way by simply adding appropriate columns to a basic design matrix. When discrete covariates are available so that subjects may be classified into strata, we show how a joint modeling approach can achieve greater parsimony. Parameter estimates may be obtained by maximizing the conditional likelihood (given the total number of captures) with a combined use of the EM and Fisher scoring algorithms. We also discuss a technique for obtaining confidence intervals for the size of the population under study based on the profile likelihood.