The Evolution of a Financial Crisis: Collapse of the Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Market

Abstract

This paper documents “runs” on asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) programs using a novel dataset of all transactions in the U.S. market during its severe contraction in 2007. We find that one-third of programs were run within weeks of the onset of the ABCP crisis and that runs, as well as yields and maturities for new issues, were related to program-level and macro-financial risks. The findings are consistent with the asymmetric information framework used to explain banking panics, have implications for the degree of risk-intolerance of commercial paper investors, and inform upon empirical predictions of recent papers on dynamic coordination failures.