Evidence on the Demographic Transition
- 1 November 2009
- journal article
- Published by MIT Press in The Review of Economics and Statistics
- Vol. 91 (4), 871-887
- https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.91.4.871
Abstract
This paper finds that fertility responds to productivity differently depending on the economy's stage of development. At low levels of development, productivity increases will increase fertility, while at the more advanced stages of development, productivity increases lower fertility. During the process, there may be important interaction effects between productivity and education demand. Increases in secondary education demand generate fertility declines regardless of the stage of development. Copyright by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.Keywords
This publication has 25 references indexed in Scilit:
- INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATION OF A THRESHOLD MODELEconometric Theory, 2004
- International data on educational attainment: updates and implicationsOxford Economic Papers, 2001
- Population, Technology, and Growth: From Malthusian Stagnation to the Demographic Transition and BeyondAmerican Economic Review, 2000
- Why do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker than Others?The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1999
- Life During GrowthJournal of Economic Growth, 1999
- Demographic Transition, Income Distribution, and Economic GrowthJournal of Economic Growth, 1998
- Was Prometheus Unbound by Chance? Risk, Diversification, and GrowthJournal of Political Economy, 1997
- Human Capital, Fertility, and Economic GrowthJournal of Political Economy, 1990
- The Onset of Fertility TransitionPopulation and Development Review, 1985
- On the Interaction between the Quantity and Quality of ChildrenJournal of Political Economy, 1973