Early versus late acute rejection episodes in renal transplantation

Abstract

Background. Acute rejection is a major complication after renal transplantation and the most important risk factor for chronic rejection. We investigated whether the timing of the last treated acute rejection episode (ARE) influences long-term outcome and compared the risk profiles of early versus late ARE. Methods. A cohort of 654 patients who underwent cadaveric renal transplants (1983–1997) that functioned for more than 6 months was studied. In 384 of 654 transplant recipients, one or more treated AREs were documented; the last ARE occurred in 297 of 384 transplant recipients within 3 months and in 87 of 384 after 3 months. Applying multivariate logistic regression analysis, we compared the predictor variables of the two groups with transplants without AREs. Results. Ten-year graft survival rates censored for causes of graft loss other than chronic rejection were 94%, 86%, and 45% for patients without ARE, with early ARE, and with late ARE, respectively. Delayed graft function, odds ratio (OR) 2.37 (1.55–3.62), and major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class II incompatibility, OR 2.28 (1.62–3.20) per human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR mismatch, were independent risk factors for early ARE. In contrast, recipient age, OR 0.75 (0.61–0.93) per 10-year increase, donor age, OR 1.28 (1.07–1.53) per 10-year increase, female donor gender, OR 1.74 (1.03–2.94), and MHC class I incompatibility, OR 1.35 (1.07–1.72) per mismatch of cross reactive groups, were associated with late ARE. Conclusions. Late ARE has a detrimental impact on long-term graft survival and is associated with MHC class I incompatibility, whereas early ARE is correlated with HLA-DR mismatches and has a better prognosis. These data are consistent with the role of direct and indirect allorecognition in the pathophysiology of early and late ARE, respectively.