Pandemic Influenza and Healthcare Demand in the Netherlands: Scenario Analysis
- 1 May 2003
- journal article
- Published by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in Emerging Infectious Diseases
- Vol. 9 (5), 531-538
- https://doi.org/10.3201/eid0905.020321
Abstract
In accordance with World Health Organization guidelines, the Dutch Ministry of Health, Welfare and Sports designed a national plan to minimize effects of pandemic influenza. Within the scope of the Dutch pandemic preparedness plan, we were asked to estimate the magnitude of the problem in terms of the number of hospitalizations and deaths during an influenza pandemic. Using scenario analysis, we also examined the potential effects of intervention options. We describe and compare the scenarios developed to understand the potential impact of a pandemic (i.e., illness, hospitalizations, deaths), various interventions, and critical model parameters. Scenario analysis is a helpful tool for making policy decisions about the design and planning of outbreak control management on a national, regional, or local level.Keywords
This publication has 36 references indexed in Scilit:
- Economic evaluation of strategies for the control and management of influenza in EuropeVaccine, 2002
- Neuraminidase inhibitors for treatment of influenza A and B infections.1999
- The control of influenza: antivirals as an adjunct to vaccinesVaccine, 1999
- InfluenzaThe Lancet, 1999
- The Economic Impact of Pandemic Influenza in the United States: Priorities for InterventionEmerging Infectious Diseases, 1999
- The Next Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from Hong Kong, 1997Emerging Infectious Diseases, 1999
- Influenza as a zoonosis: how likely is a pandemic?The Lancet, 1998
- Human influenza A H5N1 virus related to a highly pathogenic avian influenza virusThe Lancet, 1998
- Clinical features and rapid viral diagnosis of human disease associated with avian influenza A H5N1 virusThe Lancet, 1998
- Influenza pandemic preparedness plan for the United States.The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 1997