Ecological Context Influences Epidemic Size and Parasite-Driven Evolution

Abstract
Cost-Benefit Analysis: Mounting resistance to infection is costly, requires energetic input, and may thus compromise fecundity. Duffy et al. (p. 1636 ; see the cover) tested the relationships between productivity, predation, and mortality in a combination of observations of a natural lake and an experimental replica of a clonal zooplankton-parasitic yeast population. In the wild, epidemics of the yeast could exceed 60% and cause significant host mortality. In this situation, the clonal zooplankton host faces the physiological dilemma of either increasing resistance to deal with infection or of safeguarding fecundity. Zooplankton that feed quickly can reproduce quickly, but also end up ingesting more yeast spores. However, because fish tend to cull infected hosts, fish predation counters infection. Ultimately, both wild and model systems showed that lakes with high productivity (more nitrogen) and/or few fish supported greater epidemics of yeast and more resistant hosts, whereas less productive lakes, or those with more fish, had smaller epidemics and hosts with higher susceptibility to the yeast.