The statistical theory of the strength of bundles of threads. I

Abstract

A group of parallel threads of equal length, clamped at each end so that all threads extend equally under tension, is called a bundle, and the maximum load which the bundle can support is called its strength. The object of the work is to study the probability distribution of the strength of bundles whose constituent threads are sampled randomly from an infinite population of threads in which the probability distribution of strength is known. The relation between the strength of a bundle and the strengths of its constituent threads is first discussed, and results are stated for bundles so large that the proportions of threads of different strengths approach their expectations. The properties of the probability distribution of bundle strength are next developed in detail, attention being confined in the present paper to the case where all threads have the same load-extension curve up to breaking point. Finally, the asymptotic behaviour of the distribution for large numbers of threads is studied, and it is shown that in the commonest cases the distribution tends to assume the normal form.