Statistical Evaluation of Interstate 4 Traffic Prediction System

Abstract

Short-term traffic prediction systems have received considerable attention in the past few years as a means to support advanced traveler information and traffic management systems. Predictive information allows transportation system users to make better trip decisions at the pretrip planning stage and en route. A comprehensive statistical analysis of the traffic prediction system performance implemented on the 40-mi corridor of Interstate 4 in Orlando, Florida, is presented. The system was evaluated under a wide range of traffic conditions and various model parameters. The prediction performance in terms of prediction errors was examined with both link-based and path-based approaches.