Relationship between number of radiological risk factors for delayed union after osteoporotic vertebral fracture and clinical outcomes

Abstract
This study demonstrated that number of three specific radiological risk factors (MR T2WI confined high-intensity pattern and diffuse low-intensity pattern, thoracolumbar vertebrae involvement, middle column injury) added prognostic information for delayed union, kyphotic deformity, and prolonged pain. Delayed union after osteoporotic vertebral fracture (OVF) causes prolonged pain, QOL impairment, progression of collapse, kyphotic deformity, and neurologic impairment. Some specific radiological findings can be useful for predicting delayed union. We aimed to explore the prevalence and concomitance of various types of radiological risk factors for delayed union after osteoporotic vertebral fracture (OVF) and to assess the impact of risk factor number on clinical outcomes. A total of 508 patients with fresh OVF from 25 institutes were evaluated. All patients were treated conservatively without surgical interventions. At the 6-month follow-up, the patients were classified into bone union and delayed union groups based on plain X-ray findings. We examined the presence and absence of three specific radiological risk factors (MR T2WI confined high-intensity pattern and diffuse low-intensity pattern, thoracolumbar vertebrae involvement, middle column injury) and analyzed clinical outcomes according to numbers of radiological risk factors. Delayed union was observed in 101 patients (19.9%) at the 6-month follow-up. The most common radiological risk factor was thoracolumbar vertebrae involvement (73.8%), followed by middle column injury (33.9%) and specific MRI findings (T2WI confined high-intensity pattern and diffuse low-intensity pattern) (29.7%). Overall, 85 (16.7%) patients had zero radiological risk factors, 212 (42.7%) had one, 137 (27.0%) had two, and 69 (13.6%) had three. When assessing the number of radiographic risk factors which included the MRI findings (the 3-risk factor method), the odds ratio for delayed union after acute OVF was 5.8 in the 2/3-risk factor group and 13.1 in the 3/3-risk factor group. Even when assessing the number of radiographic risk factors without MRI findings (2-risk factor method), the odds ratio was 3.2 in the 1/2-risk factor group and 10.2 in the 2/2-risk factor group. Number of radiological risk factors added prognostic information for delayed union, kyphotic deformity, and prolonged pain.