Spatial differentiation and influencing factors of floating population’s length of residence willingness

Abstract

Based on the dynamic monitoring data of China’s floating population in 2018, according to the length of time that the floating population is willing to stay in the inflow area, the residence intention is divided into three types: short-term residence intention, long-term residence intention and permanent residence intention. The spatial differentiation and influencing factors of different types of residence intention of floating population in cities at and above the prefecture level in China are compared and analyzed by using spatial analysis technology and hierarchical model. It is found that the proportion of floating population with short-term and long-term residence intention is more than 60%, indicating that amphibious and multi-habitat livelihood is still the dominant livelihood strategy of floating population; there is an obvious spatial difference between short-term and permanent residence willingness. The short-term residence willingness is the highest in the eastern region and the lowest in the northeast region, while the permanent residence willingness shows a completely opposite distribution pattern; the floating population in the central and western regions has the highest willingness to stay for a long time. The results of the model show that the inflow characteristics and the individual characteristics of the floating population jointly affect different types of residence intention: in the eastern and central regions, economically developed areas and areas with high average wages, the floating population has higher short-term and long-term residence intention and lower permanent residence intention; the floating population who are male with agricultural registered permanent residence, low-level of education and family average monthly income, short floating time and inter provincial mobility tend to stay for a short time and a long time; the floating population who are female with non-agricultural registered permanent residence, high-level of education and family average monthly income, moving within the province and outside the province for a long time are more willing to settle permanently in the inflow place.