Tehlikeli Özellikler: Türkiye Süper Ligdeki Futbol Kulüplerinin Sağ Kalım Analizi

Abstract

European football is the most popular sports among the ball sports. Survival in the top-tier league is vital for the clubs. This study analyzed the factors that effected the survival of the clubs in Turkish Super League by employing a survival analysis for recurrent event model on the data set from 1990 to 2017. The most important finding was the existence of the liability of newness. The risk of relegation for the teams in their first year in the Super League was 20.7 times higher than existing teams. The new teams in the Super League suffered from being fresh to the league. New teams faced a higher risk of relegation than older ones. Other than that, the number of prior relegations in the club history increased the risk, while each additional foreign player decreased the risk. In addition, each year of experience decreased the hazard ratio by 10%. Briefly, regional location of the club base and existence of another team in the same city did not have significant effects on their survival in Turkish Super League.