An Extended Event Tree Risk Analysis Under Fuzzy Logic Environment: The Case of Fire in Ship Engine Room
- 30 September 2021
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Galenos Yayinevi in Journal of ETA Maritime Science
- Vol. 9 (3), 210-220
- https://doi.org/10.4274/jems.2021.93685
Abstract
Ship engine room fire is one of the major dangers that threaten the safety of the ships. An effective firefighting in the engine room is critical to prevent possible destructive consequences on-board ship. Fire detection and firefighting systems, which are designed for an effective fire prevention on-board ship, need to work flawlessly. In order to achieve this, the deficiencies of the designed systems must be determined and necessary control actions must be taken. In this study, failure probabilities of fire detection and firefighting systems on-board ship is calculated by event tree analysis and fuzzy logic environment. The possible consequences that may be encountered in case the systems fail under various scenarios are determined. Solutions have been proposed in order to minimize the risk that may arise by reducing the failure probability of each system. The outcome of this paper will be utilised by safety engineers, shipping companies and safety inspectors to prevent potential engine room fires.Keywords
This publication has 40 references indexed in Scilit:
- Accident investigation reporting deficiencies related to organizational factors in machinery space fires and explosionsAccident Analysis & Prevention, 2011
- Fire engineering tools used in consequence analysisShips and Offshore Structures, 2010
- Early fire detection method in video for vesselsJournal of Systems and Software, 2009
- Safety-barrier diagrams as a safety management toolReliability Engineering & System Safety, 2009
- A SWOT analysis for successful bridge team organization and safer marine operationsProcess Safety Progress, 2007
- Safety barriers: Definition, classification, and performanceJournal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2006
- Towards the identification of warning criteria: Analysis of a ship accident databaseApplied Ocean Research, 2005
- Estimation of failure probability of oil and gas transmission pipelines by fuzzy fault tree analysisJournal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2005
- Use of Advances in Technology for Maritime Risk AssessmentRisk Analysis, 2004
- A real-time shipboard fire-detection system based on grey-fuzzy algorithmsFire Safety Journal, 2003