A Machine Learning Approach to Prediction of the Compressive Strength of Segregated Lightweight Aggregate Concretes Using Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity

Abstract
Lightweight aggregate concrete (LWAC) is an increasingly important material for modern construction. However, although it has several advantages compared with conventional concrete, it is susceptible to segregation due to the low density of the incorporated aggregate. The phenomenon of segregation can adversely affect the mechanical properties of LWAC, reducing its compressive strength and its durability. In this work, several machine learning techniques are used to study the influence of the segregation of LWAC on its compressive strength, including the K-nearest neighbours (KNN) algorithm, regression tree-based algorithms such as random forest (RF) and gradient boosting regressors (GBRs), artificial neural networks (ANNs) and support vector regression (SVR). In addition, a weighted average ensemble (WAE) method is proposed that combines RF, SVR and extreme GBR (or XGBoost). A dataset that was recently used for predicting the compressive strength of LWAC is employed in this experimental study. Two different types of lightweight aggregate (LWA), including expanded clay as a coarse aggregate and natural fine limestone aggregate, were mixed to produce LWAC. To quantify the segregation in LWAC, the ultrasonic pulse velocity method was adopted. Numerical experiments were carried out to analyse the behaviour of the obtained models, and a performance improvement was shown compared with the machine learning models reported in previous works. The best performance was obtained with GBR, XGBoost and the proposed weighted ensemble method. In addition, a good choice of weights in the WAE method allowed our approach to outperform all of the other models.