Assessing Future Resilience, Equity, and Sustainability in Scenario Planning
Open Access
- 7 April 2021
- book chapter
- other
- Published by Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Abstract
In the absence of strong international agreements, many municipal governments are leading efforts to build resilience to climate change in general and to extreme weather events in particular. However, it is notoriously difficult to guide and activate processes of change in complex adaptive systems such as cities. Participatory scenario planning with city professionals and members of civil society provides an opportunity to coproduce positive visions of the future. Yet, not all visions are created equal. In this chapter, we introduce the Resilience, Equity, and Sustainability Qualitative (RESQ) assessment tool that we have applied to compare positive scenario visions for cities in the USA and Latin America. We use the tool to examine the visions of the two desert cities in the UrbanResilience to Extreme Events Sustainability Research Network (UREx SRN), which are Hermosillo (Mexico) and Phoenix (United States).Keywords
This publication has 17 references indexed in Scilit:
- Quality criteria for visions and visioning in sustainability scienceSustainability Science, 2013
- Toward Principles for Enhancing the Resilience of Ecosystem ServicesAnnual Review of Environment and Resources, 2012
- Drivers, "Slow" Variables, "Fast" Variables, Shocks, and ResilienceEcology and Society, 2012
- Operationalising a resilience approach to adapting an urban delta to uncertain climate changesTechnological Forecasting and Social Change, 2010
- Scenario planning in public policy: Understanding use, impacts and the role of institutional context factorsTechnological Forecasting and Social Change, 2009
- Urban Governance for Adaptation: Assessing Climate Change Resilience in Ten Asian CitiesIDS Working Papers, 2009
- A stakeholder driven process to reduce vulnerability to climate change in Hermosillo, Sonora, MexicoMitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 2007
- The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysisGlobal Environmental Change, 2004
- Understanding the Complexity of Economic, Ecological, and Social SystemsEcosystems, 2001
- The appraisal of sustainability: Some problems and possible responsesLocal Environment, 1999