Considerations for the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals for dengue
Open Access
- 7 November 2019
- journal article
- Published by F1000 Research Ltd in Gates Open Research
- Vol. 3, 1656
- https://doi.org/10.12688/gatesopenres.13084.1
Abstract
Dengue circulates endemically in many tropical and subtropical regions. In 2012, the World Health Organization (WHO) set out goals to reduce dengue mortality and morbidity by 50% and 25%, respectively, between 2010 and 2020. These goals will not be met. This is, in part, due to existing interventions being insufficiently effective to prevent spread. Further, complex and variable patterns of disease presentation coupled with imperfect surveillance systems mean that even tracking changes in burden is rarely possible. As part of the Sustainable Development Goals, WHO will propose new dengue-specific goals for 2030. The 2030 goals provide an opportunity for focused action on tackling dengue burden but should be carefully developed to be ambitious but also technically feasible. Here we discuss the potential for clearly defined case fatality rates and the rollout of new and effective intervention technologies to form the foundation of these future goals. Further, we highlight how the complexity of dengue epidemiology limits the feasibility of goals that instead target dengue outbreaks.Funding Information
- Gates Foundation (OPP1184344)
This publication has 43 references indexed in Scilit:
- Economic burden of dengue illness in India from 2013 to 2016: A systematic analysisInternational Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2019
- Reconstruction of antibody dynamics and infection histories to evaluate dengue riskNature, 2018
- The global economic burden of dengue: a systematic analysisThe Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2016
- The global burden of dengue: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2016
- The Nicaraguan Pediatric Dengue Cohort Study: Incidence of Inapparent and Symptomatic Dengue Virus Infections, 2004–2010PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2013
- Economic and Disease Burden of Dengue in Southeast AsiaPLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2013
- Refining the Global Spatial Limits of Dengue Virus Transmission by Evidence-Based ConsensusPLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2012
- Determinants of Inapparent and Symptomatic Dengue Infection in a Prospective Study of Primary School Children in Kamphaeng Phet, ThailandPLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2011
- The Impact of the Demographic Transition on Dengue in Thailand: Insights from a Statistical Analysis and Mathematical ModelingPLoS Medicine, 2009
- Decreases in dengue transmission may act to increase the incidence of dengue hemorrhagic feverProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2008