Improving Energy Efficiency by Household Consumers in the Republic of Tajikistan Based on the Developed Forecasting Method

Abstract

The work is devoted to the assessment of energy efficiency in electricity consumption by household consumers in the city of the Republic of Tajikistan. Methods of forecasting taking into account factor dependencies are proposed. According to the data obtained from the readings of electricity metering devices for groups of household consumers with different climates, meteorological conditions of the area and geographic area, comparisons of the actual power consumption with standard values were made. A non-standard excess of the actual specific loads in winter about the standard values was established, leading to a violation of the operating mode. The applied methods for calculating the proposed average monthly loads of all consumers and the average values of the electrical loads of the cities under consideration. It is substantiated that the proposed method makes it possible to increase the energy efficiency of urban electrical networks of 10 / 0.4 kV without violating the standard values.