Predictive Factors for Short-Term Survival after Non-Curative Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection for Early Gastric Cancer
- 15 September 2020
- journal article
- research article
- Published by S. Karger AG in Digestion
- Vol. 102 (4), 630-639
- https://doi.org/10.1159/000510165
Abstract
Background/Aims: For early gastric cancer (EGC) treated using endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) with poor curability defined by the Japanese Guidelines (non-curative EGC, N-EGC), additional gastrectomy has been recommended. However, N-EGC patients without additional gastrectomy often die of other diseases within a relatively short interval after ESD. It has been unclear whether additional gastrectomy is beneficial or not for such patients. The aim of this study was to clarify predictors for short-term survival of N-EGC patients without additional gastrectomy after ESD. Methods: One hundred six N-EGC patients without additional gastrectomy were included in this study. Factors related to short-term survival, defined as death within 3 years after ESD, were evaluated using uni- and multivariate analyses by comparing patients with and without short-term survival (Groups S and C, respectively). Results: During the mean follow-up period of 89 months, 39 patients died (14 patients died within 3 years, being Group S). The cause of death was gastric cancer for only 1 patient in the Group C. The 3- and 5-year overall survival rates were 86.8 and 81.8%, respectively, and the 3- and 5-years disease-specific survival rates were 100 and 98.9%, respectively. Univariate analyses showed that short-term survival was statistically associated with elevated morphology, high-risk status for lymph node metastases as defined by the eCura system, severe comorbidity (Charlson Comorbidity Index [CCI] ≥3), low level of activity in daily living (being unable to go out by oneself), habitation (a nursing home), and several poor nutritional prognostic indices (neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio ≥2.5, geriatric nutritional risk index p = 0.014). Conclusions: Severe comorbidity indicated by a high CCI score (≥3) was the independent predictor for short-term survival for EGC patients without additional gastrectomy after non-curative ESD. Since the cause of death for most patients was not gastric cancer, observational follow-ups without additional gastrectomy might be a reasonable option for patients with a poor general status indicated by a CCI ≥3.Keywords
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