The Pitman–Yor Process and an Empirical Study of Choice Behavior
- 15 February 2018
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Physical Society of Japan in Journal of the Physics Society Japan
- Vol. 87 (2)
- https://doi.org/10.7566/jpsj.87.024002
Abstract
This study discusses choice behavior using a voting model in which voters can obtain information from a finite number of previous r voters. Voters vote for a candidate with a probability proportional to the previous vote ratio, which is visible to the voters. We obtain the Pitman sampling formula as the equilibrium distribution of r votes. We present the model as a process of posting on a bulletin board system, 2ch.net, where users can choose one of many threads to create a post. We explore how this choice depends on the last r posts and the distribution of these last r posts across threads. We conclude that the posting process is described by our voting model with analog herders for a small r, which might correspond to the time horizon of users’ responses.Keywords
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