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Testing for contagion in economic literature

Ceren Kocabas
Journal of Governance and Regulation , Volume 8, pp 42-46; doi:10.22495/jgr_v8_i3_p3

Abstract: The contagion of the financial crisis is an unavoidable fact for the economies of the global system anymore. Therefore measuring contagion, analyzing the propagation of volatility across countries became mainly important research topics among economists. There are many different econometric techniques used to test for contagion effect of financial crises. Transmission of shocks from one country to another can be calculated with four different techniques. The empirical literature mostly based on the techniques of measuring cross-market correlations, GARCH models, cointegration and probit models. In these models, economists use financial or real indicators or both of them in their analyses. As the financial indicators, they generally use share price indices, interest rates, exchange rates, and inflation rate. As the real indicators, they generally use the values of GDP, imports, exports, unemployment rate, etc. The aim of this paper is to underline the prominent empirical studies in the field of contagious crises
Keywords: models / financial / crises / Economists / Generally Use / Testing for Contagion / Real Indicators / system anymore

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